Sur thinking fast and slow goodreads
In plaisante, this is Nous of those books délié of helping usages understand ourselves slightly better.
Often I find myself in entretien with people who are criminally opinionated, plaisant have little in the way of empirical grounding. It’s common, in these disposition, to hear them malign opponents of their views by reducing the conflict to a simple factor; My opponent is so dumb they couldn’t follow a chemical gradient if they were bacteria! Now, putting aside the fact that sommaire factor analysis is a mugs Jeu when discussing things of any complexity (which is basically everything), when resorting to these oversimplifications with human behavior, you asymptotically approach infinite incorrectness.
System 2. Instead, he’s désuet to educate règles about how the interplay between these systems intention règles to make decisions that aren’t always rational or sensible given the statistics and evidence at hand.
The principle of independent judgments (and decorrelated errors) eh immediate attention cognition the conduct of manifestation, année activity in which executives in organizations spend a great deal of their working days.
The native is that this book is simply more in depth embout psychology and psychological processes than I truly have a bermuda-term interest in. This is more the frappe of book you keep near your desk or bedside, read a 12 Passage chapter pépite so, and digest.
They either will not read this book, read and reject it pépite indeed read it, accept it's findings joli mentally commentaire them as curious aberrations that don't affect their belief - this is discussed in the book.
Premortems Can Help. (264) before making a decision, assign someone to imagine it’s a year into the future and the modèle was a disaster. Have them write a history of the disaster.
Assiette-lérot neglect: Recall Steve, the meek and tidy soul who is often believed to Quand a librarian. The personality figure is salient and vivid, and although you surely know that there are more male farmers than male librarians, that statistical fact almost certainly did not come to your mind when you first considered the Énigme.
There is Nous-mêmes thing you can ut when you have doubts about the quality of the evidence: let your judgments of probability stay Fermée to the base rate.
Kahneman's discoveries and révélation of clerc capacity and biases could form the basis of a "Intellectuel Guerrier Arts" program: année dilemme form of indoctrination, in which students are trained to understand their brains' weaknesses, and learn to take stances or engage in practices that eliminate pépite reduce the errors to which these weaknesses can lead.
After establishing the groundwork, Kahneman sets his sights on the neighboring art of economics. Conventional economic theory presupposes rational actors who are able to weigh risks and to act in accordance with their desires.
This is just a short summary of the book, which certainly ut not ut franchise to the richness of Kahneman’s many insights, examples, and thèse. What can I possibly add? Well, I think I should begin with my few criticisms. Now, it is always possible to criticize the details of psychological experiments—they are artificial, they mainly use college students, etc.
Why? Lack of access to health Ondée? Wait, what? The System 1 mind immediately comes up with a story to explain the difference. Fin léopard des neiges the numbers are cranked, apparently, it’s just année artifact of the fact that a few subdivision in a small county skews the rate. Joli if you assiette your decision on either story, the outcomes will Si bad.
I suppose it’s also worth mentioning that this book reaffirms my supercilious disregard cognition economics. According to Kahneman, approvisionnement brokers and investors have no idea what they are doing—and some of them know this, joli most of them offrande’t. Economists are, connaissance the most thinking fast and slow résumé ration, highly-trained, joli they seem bent upon sustaining this theoretical fantasy État in which humans are rational creatures.